UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Messiah 3
  
Messiah               
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 95.4716

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Scranton Landmark ( 8- 3, 94.8) 221 A Susquehanna Landmark ( 6- 6, 86.6) 19- 9 225 A Gettysburg Centennial ( 6- 5, 96.4) 7-11 304 H Salisbury Coast to Coas (13- 0, 99.9) 11-12 307 N Washington College Centennial ( 9- 3, 93.4) 25-18 311 A Denison North Coast (10- 1, 96.5) 11-12 318 H Haverford Centennial ( 8- 4, 93.8) 7-12 321 H St Marys (MD) UnitedEast ( 3- 9, 88.3) 15- 9 325 H Shenandoah Old Dominion ( 9- 5, 91.6) 16- 4 328 A Mary Washington Coast to Coas ( 7- 6, 91.8) 14-10 401 H York MAC Commonwea ( 8- 4, 96.0) 11- 9 408 H Albright MAC Commonwea ( 7- 5, 83.0) 19- 1 411 A Alvernia MAC Commonwea ( 2-10, 81.3) 415 A Hood MAC Commonwea ( 5- 5, 85.2) 418 H Eastern MAC Commonwea ( 3- 5, 73.0) 422 H Stevenson MAC Commonwea ( 6- 5, 90.4) 425 A Widener MAC Commonwea ( 7- 5, 88.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Susquehanna            19- 9      10     9           0.00
   225 A Gettysburg              7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.74
   304 H Salisbury              11-12      -1    -4    +      3.12
   307 N Washington College     25-18       7     2    +      2.91
   311 A Denison                11-12      -1    -1           0.38
   318 H Haverford               7-12      -5     2    ---   -6.96
   321 H St Marys (MD)          15- 9       6     7           0.00
   325 H Shenandoah             16- 4      12     4           0.83
   328 A Mary Washington        14-10       4     3           0.62
   401 H York                   11- 9       2     0    +      2.20
   408 H Albright               19- 1      18    13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Haverford               7-12      -5     2    ---   -6.96
   225 A Gettysburg              7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Salisbury              11-12      -1    -4    +      3.12
   307 N Washington College     25-18       7     2    +      2.91
   401 H York                   11- 9       2     0    +      2.20

Messiah Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Messiah   Messiah
Albertus Magnus Messiah   Messiah
Albion Messiah   Messiah
Albright Messiah Messiah  
Alfred Messiah   Messiah
Alfred State Messiah   Messiah
Allegheny Messiah   Messiah
Alma Messiah   Messiah
Alvernia Messiah Messiah   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Messiah   Messiah
Anna Maria Messiah   Messiah
Arcadia Messiah tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Messiah
Augsburg Messiah   Messiah
Augustana (IL) Messiah   Messiah
Aurora Messiah   Messiah
Averett Messiah   Messiah
Babson Messiah   Messiah
Baldwin Wallace Messiah   Messiah
Bard Messiah   Messiah
Bates Messiah   Messiah
Beloit Messiah   Messiah
Berry Messiah   Messiah
Bethany Messiah   Messiah
Bowdoin Messiah   Messiah
Brevard Messiah   Messiah
Bridgewater Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Bridgewater State Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Brockport Messiah   Messiah
Buffalo State Messiah   Messiah
Cal Lutheran Messiah   Messiah
Calvin Messiah   Messiah
Canton Messiah   Messiah
Capital Messiah   Messiah
Carroll Messiah tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Messiah
Carthage Messiah   Messiah
Castleton Messiah   Messiah
Catholic Messiah tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Messiah
Cedar Crest Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Centenary (NJ) Messiah   Messiah
Centre Messiah   Messiah
Chapman Messiah   Messiah
Chatham Messiah   Messiah
Chicago Messiah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Messiah
Christopher Newport Messiah tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Messiah
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Messiah   Messiah
Clark Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Clarkson Messiah   Messiah
Coast Guard Messiah   Messiah
Colby Messiah   Messiah
Colby-Sawyer Messiah   Messiah
Colorado College Messiah   Messiah
Concordia-Wisconsin Messiah   Messiah
Connecticut College Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
Cornell College Messiah   Messiah
Cortland Messiah   Messiah
Curry Messiah   Messiah
Dean Messiah   Messiah
Delaware Valley Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Denison Denison Denison  
DePauw Messiah   Messiah
DeSales Messiah   Messiah
Dickinson Messiah Messiah   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Drew Messiah   Messiah
Eastern Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Eastern Connecticut Messiah   Messiah
Eastern Mennonite Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Edgewood Messiah   Messiah
Elizabethtown Messiah insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Messiah
Elmhurst Messiah   Messiah
Elmira Messiah   Messiah
Elms Messiah   Messiah
Emerson Messiah   Messiah
Emmanuel (MA) Messiah   Messiah
Endicott Messiah   Messiah
Farmingdale State Messiah   Messiah
FDU-Florham Messiah   Messiah
Ferrum Messiah   Messiah
Fitchburg State Messiah   Messiah
Framingham State Messiah   Messiah
Franciscan Messiah   Messiah
Franklin Messiah   Messiah
Franklin & Marshall Messiah tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Messiah
Fredonia Messiah   Messiah
Geneseo Messiah   Messiah
Geneva College Messiah   Messiah
George Fox Messiah   Messiah
Gettysburg Gettysburg Gettysburg  
Gordon Messiah   Messiah
Goucher Messiah   Messiah
Greensboro Messiah   Messiah
Grove City Messiah   Messiah
Guilford Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Gwynedd Mercy Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Hamilton Messiah   Messiah
Hamline Messiah   Messiah
Hanover Messiah   Messiah
Hartford Messiah   Messiah
Hartwick Messiah   Messiah
Haverford Haverford Haverford  
Hendrix Messiah   Messiah
Hilbert Messiah   Messiah
Hood Messiah   Messiah
Hope Messiah   Messiah
Huntingdon Messiah   Messiah
Husson Messiah   Messiah
Illinois Tech Messiah   Messiah
Illinois Wesleyan Messiah   Messiah
Immaculata Messiah   Messiah
Ithaca Messiah   Messiah
John Carroll Messiah   Messiah
Johnson & Wales Messiah   Messiah
Kalamazoo Messiah   Messiah
Kean Messiah   Messiah
Keene State Messiah   Messiah
Kenyon Messiah   Messiah
Keuka Messiah   Messiah
Kings Messiah   Messiah
La Roche Messiah   Messiah
Lake Forest Messiah   Messiah
Lasell Messiah   Messiah
Lawrence Messiah   Messiah
Lebanon Valley Messiah tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Messiah
Lewis & Clark Messiah   Messiah
Linfield Messiah   Messiah
Lycoming Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Lynchburg Messiah tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Messiah
Maine Maritime Messiah   Messiah
Maine-Farmington Messiah   Messiah
Manhattanville Messiah   Messiah
Marian (WI) Messiah   Messiah
Marietta Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Maritime Messiah   Messiah
Mary Washington Messiah Messiah  
Marymount Messiah   Messiah
Marywood Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
Massachusetts Maritime Messiah   Messiah
Massachusetts-Boston Messiah   Messiah
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Messiah   Messiah
McDaniel Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Messiah
Merchant Marine Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Meredith Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Methodist Messiah   Messiah
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
MIT Messiah   Messiah
Mitchell Messiah   Messiah
Montclair State Messiah   Messiah
Moravian Messiah tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Messiah
Morrisville Messiah   Messiah
Mount Aloysius Messiah   Messiah
Mount Holyoke Messiah   Messiah
Mount St Joseph Messiah   Messiah
Mount St Mary (NY) Messiah   Messiah
Mount St Vincent Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Mount Union Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
MSOE Messiah   Messiah
Muhlenberg Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
Muskingum Messiah   Messiah
Nazareth Messiah   Messiah
Neumann Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
New England College Messiah   Messiah
New Paltz Messiah   Messiah
Nichols Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
North Carolina Wesleyan Messiah   Messiah
North Central (IL) Messiah   Messiah
Norwich Messiah   Messiah
Notre Dame (MD) Messiah   Messiah
Oberlin Messiah   Messiah
Occidental Messiah   Messiah
Oglethorpe Messiah   Messiah
Ohio Northern Messiah   Messiah
Ohio Wesleyan Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
Old Westbury Messiah   Messiah
Oneonta Messiah   Messiah
Oswego Messiah   Messiah
Otterbein Messiah   Messiah
Pacific Messiah   Messiah
Pacific Lutheran Messiah   Messiah
Pfeiffer Messiah   Messiah
Piedmont Messiah   Messiah
Plattsburgh Messiah   Messiah
Plymouth State Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Messiah   Messiah
Puget Sound Messiah   Messiah
Purchase Messiah   Messiah
Ramapo Messiah   Messiah
Randolph Messiah   Messiah
Randolph-Macon Messiah Messiah   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Redlands Messiah   Messiah
Regis (MA) Messiah   Messiah
Rhode Island College Messiah   Messiah
Rhodes Messiah   Messiah
RIT Messiah   Messiah
Rivier Messiah   Messiah
Roanoke Messiah Messiah   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Rochester Messiah   Messiah
Roger Williams Messiah   Messiah
Rowan Rowan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rowan
RPI Messiah   Messiah
Sage Messiah   Messiah
Salem State Messiah   Messiah
Salisbury Salisbury Salisbury  
Salve Regina Messiah   Messiah
Scranton Messiah tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Messiah
Sewanee Messiah   Messiah
Shenandoah Messiah Messiah  
Simmons Messiah   Messiah
Skidmore Messiah   Messiah
Smith Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
Southern Maine Messiah   Messiah
Southern Virginia Messiah   Messiah
Southwestern Messiah   Messiah
Spalding Messiah   Messiah
Springfield Messiah   Messiah
St Benedict Messiah   Messiah
St John Fisher Messiah   Messiah
St Joseph (CT) Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
St Josephs (LI) Messiah   Messiah
St Josephs College (ME) Messiah   Messiah
St Lawrence Messiah   Messiah
St Marys (IN) Messiah   Messiah
St Marys (MD) Messiah Messiah  
St Vincent Messiah   Messiah
Stevens Messiah tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Messiah
Stevenson Messiah Messiah   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Stockton Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Messiah
Suffolk Messiah   Messiah
SUNY Poly Messiah   Messiah
Susquehanna Messiah Messiah  
Swarthmore Messiah tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Messiah
Sweet Briar Messiah   Messiah
TCNJ Messiah   Messiah
Thiel Messiah   Messiah
Thomas Messiah   Messiah
Transylvania Messiah   Messiah
Trine Messiah   Messiah
Trinity Trinity insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Trinity
Trinity Washington Messiah   Messiah
Tufts Tufts insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tufts
U New England Messiah   Messiah
Union Messiah   Messiah
Ursinus Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Messiah
Utica Messiah   Messiah
Vassar Messiah   Messiah
Vermont State-Lyndon Messiah   Messiah
Virginia Wesleyan Messiah Messiah   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Warren Wilson Messiah   Messiah
Washington & Jefferson Messiah   Messiah
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Washington & Lee
Washington College Messiah Messiah  
Wellesley Messiah   Messiah
Wentworth Tech Messiah   Messiah
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Messiah   Messiah
Western New England Messiah   Messiah
Westfield State Messiah   Messiah
Westminster (PA) Messiah   Messiah
Wheaton (MA) Messiah   Messiah
Whitman Messiah   Messiah
Whittier Messiah   Messiah
Whitworth Messiah   Messiah
Widener Messiah tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Messiah
Wilkes Messiah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Messiah
Willamette Messiah   Messiah
William Peace Messiah   Messiah
William Smith William Smith tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) William Smith
Williams Williams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Williams
Wilson Messiah Messiah   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Messiah   Messiah
Wisconsin-La Crosse Messiah   Messiah
Wisconsin-River Falls Messiah   Messiah
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Messiah   Messiah
Wisconsin-Stout Messiah   Messiah
Wittenberg Messiah   Messiah
Wooster Messiah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messiah
Worcester State Messiah   Messiah
York Messiah Messiah  

PowerWise = 265


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Susquehanna     ( 6- 6, 86.6)    19- 9      -13.28      25.92       0.31         0.96            25.06
   0 A Gettysburg      ( 6- 5, 96.4)     7-11       -3.49      35.71       0.31         0.96            -3.03
   0 H Salisbury       (13- 0, 99.9)    11-12       -0.00      39.20      -0.31         0.96            -0.30
   0 N Washington Col  ( 9- 3, 93.4)    25-18       -6.52      32.67      -0.00         0.96            31.21
   0 A Denison         (10- 1, 96.5)    11-12       -3.36      35.84       0.31         0.96            -2.91
   0 H Haverford       ( 8- 4, 93.8)     7-12       -6.08      33.12      -0.31         0.96            -6.11
   0 H St Marys (MD)   ( 3- 9, 88.3)    15- 9      -11.62      27.58      -0.31         0.96            26.05
   0 H Shenandoah      ( 9- 5, 91.6)    16- 4       -8.28      30.91      -0.31         0.96            29.23
   0 A Mary Washingto  ( 7- 6, 91.8)    14-10       -8.12      31.08       0.31         0.96            29.98
   0 H York            ( 8- 4, 96.0)    11- 9       -3.92      35.28      -0.31         0.96            33.40
   0 H Albright        ( 7- 5, 83.0)    19- 1      -16.87      22.32      -0.31         0.96            21.03
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       183.60

winning pts = 195.9481 losing points = -12.3449

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------